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Robinhood Agrees to Exit Michigan Sports Contracts by October 9 — Court-Approved Deal Described as Blueprint

Robinhood Derivatives has agreed to stop offering new sports event contracts to Michigan customers by September 9 and close all outstanding positions by October 9, under a court-approved stipulation signed by US District Judge Paul Maloney on September 4. Michigan agreed not to enforce state gambling laws against Robinhood while the company complies. The deal preserves Robinhood's CEA preemption argument and keeps multiple Sixth Circuit appeals — involving Robinhood, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Kalshi — on track. Legal Sports Report called the agreement a potential 'blueprint' for how platforms and states might reach interim accommodations during the ongoing litigation.

Robinhood Derivatives agreed on September 4, 2026 to stop offering new sports-related event contracts in Michigan and to close out all existing customer positions by October 9 — voluntarily pausing its Michigan sports market business under a stipulation and order signed by US District Judge Paul L. Maloney of the Western District of Michigan. The deal was publicly reported September 10. Under the agreement, Michigan officials agreed not to enforce the state's sports gambling laws against Robinhood while the company remains in compliance with the pause. The agreement does not resolve the underlying legal question of whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts Michigan's authority to regulate CFTC-registered prediction markets as gambling, and it explicitly preserves Robinhood's preemption claim for the ongoing Sixth Circuit appeal. Robinhood stops operating Michigan sports contracts; Michigan stops enforcing against Robinhood; the courts continue working toward a legal answer.

The stipulation covers sports event contracts specifically. Robinhood's other prediction market categories — political, economic, financial, and entertainment contracts — are not addressed, and the company can presumably continue offering those to Michigan residents during the pause period. The agreement runs while the Sixth Circuit considers the Michigan appeal; it does not set an expiration date independent of the litigation timeline. Michigan has multiple concurrent Sixth Circuit appeals involving Robinhood, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Kalshi — all arising from the state's enforcement action and Judge Maloney's June 2026 preliminary injunction denial. Those appeals are expected to be briefed and argued in late 2026 or early 2027. Robinhood's stipulation sidesteps the enforcement conflict that has put smaller platforms in difficult positions — caught between CFTC emergency orders and state court mandates — while the appeals work through the system.

Legal Sports Report described the Robinhood-Michigan deal as a potential 'blueprint' for interim accommodations between prediction market platforms and states during the litigation. The appeal of the structure is clear: platforms get a defined enforcement-free period; states get voluntary compliance without expending further enforcement resources or risking adverse emergency orders from the CFTC; courts get to resolve the underlying legal question without the distraction of ongoing enforcement skirmishes. Whether other platforms in other states will reach similar stipulations depends on whether they share Robinhood's strategic calculus. Kalshi has consistently declined to reach voluntary accommodation agreements, instead contesting enforcement in court and relying on CFTC emergency orders for protection. Polymarket US has similarly contested, while generally complying with state demands more quickly than Kalshi. Robinhood's decision to negotiate a voluntary pause suggests the platform's legal team concluded that the Michigan enforcement risk, the cost of parallel litigation, and the reputational dimensions of the conflict outweighed the Michigan sports market revenue during the litigation period.

The Michigan deal has a specific commercial context: October 9 — the date Robinhood must close all Michigan customer positions — is five weeks into the NFL regular season. NFL sports contracts have been among the highest-volume products on all prediction market platforms in 2026; closing Michigan user positions in the middle of the season has real user-experience consequences. Robinhood's acceptance of that commercial cost signals that the company's Michigan legal exposure (potential $500,000-per-day state fines, contempt risk, and reputational damage from ongoing enforcement proceedings) was judged more costly than losing five weeks of NFL season access for Michigan's user base. The agreement also limits Robinhood's exposure as a defendant in any new enforcement actions that Michigan might otherwise initiate. Kalshi, which continues to operate under CFTC emergency order protection in Michigan, faces a different risk calculus — and a different outcome if the Sixth Circuit ultimately rules against the CFTC's preemption theory.

Recent updates


Utah Files Felony Charges Against Kalshi and Its Founders — Second State to Criminally Charge a Platform

Utah filed criminal charges against Kalshi and its two co-founders, Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, on October 28 — 13 felonies and a misdemeanor, including a second-degree 'pattern of unlawful criminal activity' count and 12 counts of online gambling promotion. The charges stem from a September sting in which an undercover agent placed 12 sports wagers verified to be in Utah. The CFTC sued Utah the day before to block state enforcement, its tenth such suit. Utah is the second state after Arizona to criminally charge Kalshi, and the first to charge the founders personally. Kalshi called it a 'crazy overreach.'

NBA Names Kalshi and Polymarket Preferred Exchanges — Leaving the NFL Alone in Opposition

The NBA announced on October 26 that it has named Kalshi and Polymarket its 'preferred prediction market exchanges,' signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with the CFTC on basketball integrity, and expanded its DraftKings deal to include prediction markets — the first league to extend a sportsbook partnership into the category. The exchange deals bar league and team personnel from trading NBA contracts, limit permissible markets, and require sharing of suspicious-trading data, in exchange for NBA intellectual property and official data. The NBA joins MLB, the NHL, and MLS as partnered leagues, leaving the NFL as the lone major holdout — and the only league fighting the platforms in court.

CFTC Chair Says Agency Is Watching Prediction Markets for Manipulation Ahead of Midterms

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said on October 23 that the agency is closely monitoring prediction markets for manipulation ahead of the November 3 midterms, and that it is separately scrutinizing oil market trading tied to President Trump's announcements about the war in Iran. Combined midterm open interest on Kalshi and Polymarket stood at $250 million as of October 18, with Kalshi holding 84%. Selig acknowledged the agency often catches political figures attempting to trade 'oftentimes after the fact.' The remarks highlight the CFTC's dual and somewhat conflicting role as both the platforms' federal protector and their manipulation watchdog, at a time when the agency has shed enforcement staff.