Baltimore Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood and Webull for Unlicensed Sports Betting — First Municipal Lawsuit Against Prediction Markets
Mayor Brandon Scott and the Baltimore City Council have sued Kalshi, Polymarket, and three distribution partners — Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull — for operating unlicensed sports betting in violation of Baltimore's Consumer Protection Ordinance. The suits allege the platforms compete with regulated sportsbooks while avoiding Maryland's 15% gaming tax, state oversight, and responsible-gambling requirements including the 21+ age limit. Baltimore is the first municipality in the US to pursue legal action against prediction market platforms. The Kalshi complaint separately argues that 'combos' on Kalshi and Robinhood function as parlays equivalent to those offered by licensed sportsbooks.
Mayor Brandon Scott and the Baltimore City Council filed suits on August 13 in Baltimore City Circuit Court against Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull, making Baltimore the first municipality in the United States to pursue legal action against prediction market platforms. The Kalshi complaint names four defendants: Kalshi itself plus Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull, which distribute Kalshi's event contracts through prediction market sections built into their own apps. The Polymarket complaint names Polymarket directly. Both complaints allege violations of Baltimore's Consumer Protection Ordinance and include eight counts of deceptive and unfair trade. The city is seeking penalties, restitution, and an order blocking unauthorized sports betting. Baltimore says the platforms compete with regulated sportsbooks 'while avoiding the oversight, taxation, responsible-gambling requirements' that Maryland imposes on licensed operators.
The addition of Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull as co-defendants is the most structurally significant element of the Kalshi complaint. Prediction market platforms have previously been sued as direct operators; Baltimore's suit targets the distribution layer simultaneously. Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull each embed Kalshi's event contract markets inside their own trading apps, allowing users to access sports contracts without leaving platforms they use for equities, crypto, and ETFs. By naming them, Baltimore is asserting that companies that distribute prediction market sports contracts — rather than just those that list them — are liable for the resulting harm to licensed sportsbook operators and city residents. If that theory survives, it reaches every financial platform that has integrated prediction market functionality: a much broader defendant pool than the CFTC-licensed operators alone. The parlay argument adds a further layer: Baltimore's complaint specifically argues that 'combos' on Kalshi and Robinhood — multi-leg contracts that pay out only if all legs resolve correctly — function identically to parlays offered by licensed sportsbooks, which are a particularly profitable product category for operators and a particularly high-loss product for problem gamblers.
The age and responsible-gambling argument is where Baltimore's complaint is sharpest. Maryland's licensed sportsbooks require bettors to be 21 or older, consistent with most US state sports betting frameworks. Kalshi and Polymarket, as CFTC-regulated commodity exchanges, have an 18-year-old minimum — the standard for commodity trading accounts. An 18-year-old in Baltimore can open a Kalshi account and trade NFL game outcome contracts that a licensed Maryland sportsbook would legally refuse to accept. Baltimore's Consumer Protection Ordinance gives the city standing to sue on behalf of city residents harmed by deceptive trade practices, and the complaint frames the 21-to-18 age gap as a deception: users are not informed that they are in a less-regulated environment than a licensed sportsbook. The Kalshi complaint also alleges that Kalshi's marketing misleads users about its regulatory status — presenting CFTC licensing as equivalent to or stronger than state gaming oversight when the two regimes have different responsible-gambling obligations.
Baltimore's suit is filed in state circuit court, not federal court — a tactical choice that avoids the immediate federal preemption argument that has paralyzed most state-level litigation. Eleven states' worth of suits have been contested on CFTC preemption grounds, with courts splitting on whether federal DCM licensing displaces state gambling law. By filing in Baltimore City Circuit Court under a municipal consumer protection ordinance rather than state gambling law, Baltimore is attempting to frame the claim as a local consumer protection issue rather than a gambling regulation dispute. Whether a federal court accepts that reframing on removal — Kalshi and Polymarket will almost certainly remove to federal court — determines whether the consumer protection theory survives. The Fourth Circuit, which covers Maryland, has not yet ruled on a prediction market preemption question, making Baltimore a potential vehicle for establishing Fourth Circuit precedent alongside the Second, Third, and Sixth Circuit cases already in motion.
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Recent updates
Czech Republic Blocks Kalshi From October 15 — Polymarket Already Blocked Since July
The Czech Ministry of Finance added Kalshi to its list of unauthorized gambling operators on September 30, requiring ISPs to block the platform by October 15, 2026. Polymarket was similarly blocked by Czech authorities in July 2026. The Czech Institute for Gambling Regulation (IPRH), representing over 90% of the Czech licensed gambling sector, brought the Kalshi case forward. Czech authorities describe prediction markets as betting products that market themselves as investment tools. Kalshi and Polymarket are now blocked or under active enforcement in at least six European jurisdictions: Czech Republic, Belgium, France, Romania, Spain, and Germany.
SCOTUS Publishes First Orders List — No Prediction Market Cases Granted Yet
The Supreme Court published its first orders list of the October 2026-2027 term on October 2, granting certiorari in three cases — none of them prediction market cases. The absence was expected: response briefs from Kalshi to the New Jersey petition (filed September 2) and the Robinhood petition (filed September 9) are still pending. The Court typically considers cert petitions a few weeks after all responses are received. Legal observers expect the prediction market cert decision to come in late October or November 2026.
Kalshi Finalizing $1 Billion Raise at $40 Billion Valuation Ahead of IPO
Bloomberg reported on September 30 that Kalshi is finalizing a new funding round worth approximately $1 billion at a valuation of around $40 billion, expected to be the company's last private fundraise before an initial public offering. The round is being led by Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management, with Tiger Global and Dragoneer Investment Group also participating. The $40 billion valuation represents a nearly four-fold increase from Kalshi's $11 billion valuation in December 2025, a doubling from its $22 billion valuation in March 2026, and would make Kalshi one of the most valuable private fintech companies in the United States.